Mixed signals. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 42.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.72x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 29% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.01x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 33.3% — normal range
Effective IV 44.1% (ATM 33.3% + spread 5.4% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 7.20% (spread 5.39% + slippage 1.81%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 56.98 (vega 30.711 / spread 5.39%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +6% (neutral) — Raw: +5%
|OI skew| 8.4% — balanced
Vol skew +39.7%, OI skew +8.4% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -2%, ATM: +12%, OTM: +2% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 12% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 7.6% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -1.2% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 88% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 26% — mixed
Aggressive execution 65% — urgent
Conviction +6 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 5.4% — wide
OI 6,042,052 — deep
Volume 461,092/day — active
$0.27 to cross — cheap
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 41% — neutral vs sector
Depth 488.1 contracts (bid:228.8 ask:259.3) — adequate
Avg slippage 1.81% — fair
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +1.4% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 42% — neutral
IV kink 3.9pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1238.33 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
HIGH RISK: FOMC in 0d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +6% @ 53% consistency — unclear
Score 56 (ITM 20% + inst 26%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.