Mixed signals. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 67.2% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.77x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 53% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.80x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 40.1% — normal range
Effective IV 53.5% (ATM 40.1% + spread 6.7% + bias) — good value
Total drag 10.43% (spread 6.68% + slippage 3.75%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 6.14 (vega 4.105 / spread 6.68%) — acceptable
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -26% (bearish) — Raw: -27%
|OI skew| 15.1% — call-heavy
Vol skew +28.9%, OI skew +15.1% — aligned
0-DTE 35%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -37%, ATM: -26%, OTM: -26% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 42% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.7x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.6% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +6.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 42% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 33% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 52% — patient
Conviction -26 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 6.7% — wide
OI 1,945,369 — deep
Volume 70,689/day — active
$0.33 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 54% — neutral vs sector
Depth 506.5 contracts (bid:238.7 ask:267.8) — deep
Avg slippage 3.75% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -19.8% — contango
IV percentile 67% — neutral
IV kink -5.8pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 126.30 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -26% @ 63% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Score 63 (ITM 20% + inst 33%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.