IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 87.5% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.96x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 69% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.89x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 86.7% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 130.8% (ATM 86.7% + spread 22.0% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 30.32% (spread 22.03% + slippage 8.29%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1.45 (vega 3.198 / spread 22.03%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -64% (strong bearish) — Raw: -45%
|OI skew| 54.0% — call-heavy
Vol skew +49.9%, OI skew +54.0% — aligned
0-DTE 26%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +19%, ATM: +27%, OTM: -74% — bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 40% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.1x avg — normal
Vol/OI 5.4% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.0% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 77% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 43% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 46% — patient
Conviction -64 (bearish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 22.0% — wide
OI 113,172 — deep
Volume 6,090/day — active
$1.10 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 87% — much wider than sector
Depth 397.4 contracts (bid:179.2 ask:218.2) — adequate
Avg slippage 8.29% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -11.1% — contango
IV percentile 88% — seller opportunity
IV kink -6.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 304.60 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -64% @ 82% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 73 (ITM 20% + inst 43%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.