IV is elevated with bearish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 80.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 2.55x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 87% — above sector median
Front/Back 2.14x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 70.8% — normal range
Effective IV 90.7% (ATM 70.8% + spread 9.9% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 15.96% (spread 9.95% + slippage 6.01%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 3.32 (vega 3.300 / spread 9.95%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -5% (neutral) — Raw: -12%
|OI skew| 10.6% — balanced
Vol skew -8.0%, OI skew +10.6% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 72%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +16%, ATM: +18%, OTM: -17% — bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 88% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 6.2x avg — hot
Vol/OI 25.9% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
3 day(s) elevated — sustained
OI change +48.9% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 95% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 79% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 57% — patient
Conviction -5 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 9.9% — wide
OI 1,928,140 — deep
Volume 499,489/day — active
$0.50 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 89% — much wider than sector
Depth 768.4000000000001 contracts (bid:313.6 ask:454.8) — deep
Avg slippage 6.01% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +114.3% — backwardation
IV percentile 80% — seller opportunity
IV kink 51.6pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 568.93 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -5% @ 53% consistency — unclear
Score 109 (ITM 20% + inst 79%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.