bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 64.3% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.12x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 62% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.95x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 52.3% — normal range
Effective IV 68.5% (ATM 52.3% + spread 8.1% + bias) — fair
Total drag 12.90% (spread 8.12% + slippage 4.78%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 4.38 (vega 3.554 / spread 8.12%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +38% (strong bullish) — Raw: +23%
|OI skew| 57.9% — call-heavy
Vol skew +77.4%, OI skew +57.9% — aligned
0-DTE 15%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -10%, ATM: -42%, OTM: +38% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 20% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.2% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +1.8% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 31% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 43% — patient
Conviction +38 (bullish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 8.1% — wide
OI 62,867 — deep
Volume 733/day — adequate
$0.41 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 77% — wider than sector
Depth 84.2 contracts (bid:41.7 ask:42.5) — thin
Avg slippage 4.78% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -4.6% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 64% — neutral
IV kink -1.1pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 3.94 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +38% @ 69% consistency — moderate (bullish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.