
IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 97.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.80x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 97% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.16x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 131.2% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 154.3% (ATM 131.2% + spread 11.6% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 16.28% (spread 11.56% + slippage 4.72%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1.67 (vega 1.929 / spread 11.56%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +2% (neutral) — Raw: +1%
|OI skew| 26.2% — call-heavy
Vol skew +33.6%, OI skew +26.2% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -21%, ATM: +11%, OTM: +4% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 56% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.0x avg — normal
Vol/OI 14.5% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -0.8% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 92% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 34% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 40% — patient
Conviction +2 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 11.6% — wide
OI 552,299 — deep
Volume 80,240/day — active
$0.58 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 98% — much wider than sector
Depth 357.20000000000005 contracts (bid:171.9 ask:185.3) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.72% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +15.9% — backwardation
IV percentile 97% — seller opportunity
IV kink 20.4pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 27.17 — favors income trades
4 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: No earnings detected; FOMC in 7d; CPI in 0d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +2% @ 51% consistency — unclear
Score 64 (ITM 20% + inst 34%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.