IV is elevated with bullish flow and unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 83.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.52x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 92% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.93x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 77.2% — normal range
Effective IV 101.2% (ATM 77.2% + spread 12.0% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 19.69% (spread 12.01% + slippage 7.68%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.36 (vega 0.437 / spread 12.01%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +14% (bullish) — Raw: +10%
|OI skew| 63.8% — call-heavy
Vol skew +72.5%, OI skew +63.8% — aligned
0-DTE 26%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +5%, ATM: -8%, OTM: +15% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 28% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.7x avg — normal
Vol/OI 9.3% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +9.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 90% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 49% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 70% — urgent
Conviction +14 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 12.0% — wide
OI 990,544 — deep
Volume 92,493/day — active
$0.60 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 96% — much wider than sector
Depth 1,024.2 contracts (bid:410.5 ask:613.7) — deep
Avg slippage 7.68% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -6.9% — contango
IV percentile 84% — seller opportunity
IV kink -1.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 53.90 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +14% @ 57% consistency — unclear
Score 79 (ITM 20% + inst 49%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.