ORCLOracle Corp
ORCL Options Overview
IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
ORCL Gamma Walls
ORCL Hedge Radar
Neither score is at an extreme today. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where ORCL sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.
Protection is priced in the cheap band (3.29) — downside puts carry 0.8 IV points LESS than at-the-money, and near-dated vol is priced 2% below far-dated, measured against this name's own rolling 21-trading-day realized moves (483 overlapping windows). Fragility reads neutral (4.7): it is trading 1% above its hedge wall on a wall graded HIGH for reliability, and its realized-vol regime is stable.
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 97.2% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.29x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 88% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.86x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 65.5% — normal range
Effective IV 75.3% (ATM 65.5% + spread 4.9% + bias) — fair
Total drag 7.73% (spread 4.91% + slippage 2.82%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 131.29 (vega 64.465 / spread 4.91%) — efficient
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +13% (bullish) — Raw: +6%
|OI skew| 5.6% — balanced
Vol skew +39.8%, OI skew +5.6% — aligned
0-DTE 38%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -3%, ATM: +18%, OTM: +3% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 22% — very bullish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 7.8% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -9.3% (5d) — unwinding
Sector activity percentile 53% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 29% — mixed
Aggressive execution 31% — patient
Conviction +13 (bullish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 4.9% — acceptable
OI 3,004,230 — deep
Volume 233,075/day — active
$0.25 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 88% — much wider than sector
Depth 291.70000000000005 contracts (bid:142.3 ask:149.4) — adequate
Avg slippage 2.82% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -13.6% — contango
IV percentile 97% — seller opportunity
IV kink -12.5pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1545.91 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 11d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +13% @ 57% consistency — unclear
Score 59 (ITM 20% + inst 29%) — moderate institutional
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.