ORCLOracle Corp
Options Analysis Report•SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
Market Cap $477.3B|NYSE
● 2026-04-29$163.83
NEUTRAL
Analysis: 2026-04-28 EOD data
1Y +16.4%YTD -16.3%7D -7.1%
Options Vol
245,244
30D
Implied Move
±16.3%
IV Rank
34%
ORCL Options Overview
IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
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Value
Is IV priced right?
5.2
ExpensiveCheap
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV
levels.Risk Checks5/9 checks passed
IV Rank
≤35%IV Rank 87.3% — elevated vs history
IV/HV Ratio
<1.05xIV/HV 0.88x — IV ≤ HV
Sector Relative≤50%
Sector percentile 60% — above sector median
Term Structure
<1.1xFront/Back 1.26x — backwardation
Skew Normal
<1.25xPut/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
Absolute IV
<80%ATM IV 57.9% — normal range
Spread-Adjusted Value
<80%Effective IV 66.7% (ATM 57.9% + spread 4.4% + bias) — fair
Execution Efficiency
<3.0%Total drag 6.50% (spread 4.40% + slippage 2.10%) — high friction
Vega Efficiency
≥5.0Vega efficiency 55.51 (vega 24.423 / spread 4.40%) — efficient
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
5.6
BearishBullish
Analyzes
put/call ratios
, open interest skew
, and flow direction to determine market bias.Risk ChecksBearish - Moderate signal (Conviction: -17%, Raw: -16%)
Flow Direction
|net sentiment| ≥25%Conviction-weighted: -17% (bearish) — Raw: -16%
OI Skew Magnitude
≥15%|OI skew| 9.8% — balanced
Volume-OI Alignment
Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%Vol skew +20.5%, OI skew +9.8% — aligned
Conviction Quality
≥2/3 conditions0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI Momentum
|change| ≥3%OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
Smart Money Flow
|weighted flow| ≥20%ITM: -38%, ATM: +2%, OTM: -18% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%
Sector P/C percentile 52% — neutral vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
4.0
QuietActive
Detects volume surges,
block trades
, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.Risk Checks1/9 checks passed
Volume Surge
≥1.5xVolume 0.7x avg — normal
Turnover Rate
≥15%Vol/OI 10.0% — normal turnover
Strike Concentration
≥60%Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
Multi-Day Persistence
≥2 days1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI Build
≥5%OI change -1.1% (5d) — stable
Sector Relative≥60%
Sector activity percentile 76% — active vs sector
Trade Quality
≥30%Large trade volume 28% — mixed
Execution Urgency
≥60%Aggressive execution 43% — patient
Flow Conviction
≥30Conviction -17 (bearish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
6.3
IlliquidLiquid
Evaluates
bid-ask spreads
, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.Risk Checks5/8 checks passed
Tradeable Spread
≤5.0%Spread 4.4% — acceptable
Adequate OI
≥10,000OI 2,464,489 — deep
Active Volume
≥500Volume 245,244/day — active
Reasonable Cost
≤$0.50$0.22 to cross — cheap
Strike Coverage
≥5 strikes0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector Relative≤40%
Sector spread percentile 61% — wider than sector
Order Book Depth
≥100 contractsDepth 362.4 contracts (bid:179.2 ask:183.2) — adequate
Execution Quality
<1.0%Avg slippage 2.10% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
7.6
RiskyFavorable
Considers earnings proximity,
time decay
, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.Risk Checks7/9 checks passed
Term Structure Clarity
|slope| ≥5%Slope +25.9% — backwardation
IV Percentile Clarity
<30 or >70IV percentile 87% — seller opportunity
Event Detection
≥10pts kinkIV kink 14.5pts — event priced
Theta/Vega Clarity
<0.5 or >2.0θ/ν ratio 156.86 — favors income trades
Expiration Distribution
≥3 expirations5 liquid expirations — flexible
Event Risk
≥60% (safe)HIGH RISK: FOMC in 0d (HIGH)
Spread Momentum
<1.2 ratioSpread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow Momentum
≥25% strength + ≥50% consistencyFlow -17% @ 58% consistency — unclear
Smart Money Timing
≥40 composite scoreScore 58 (ITM 20% + inst 28%) — moderate institutional
Directional Strategy Fit
Option Buyers
Long Calls5.9
bullishIV fair, mixed flow
Long Puts5.4
bearishIV fair, mixed flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put5.8
bullishIV fair, mixed flow
Covered Call5.4
bearishIV fair, mixed flow
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.