IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 86.4% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.21x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 54% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.03x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 51.9% — normal range
Effective IV 66.1% (ATM 51.9% + spread 7.1% + bias) — fair
Total drag 12.84% (spread 7.10% + slippage 5.74%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 106.74 (vega 75.782 / spread 7.10%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -8% (neutral) — Raw: +1%
|OI skew| 2.0% — balanced
Vol skew +32.3%, OI skew +2.0% — aligned
0-DTE 30%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +10%, ATM: +0%, OTM: -1% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 46% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.6x avg — elevated
Vol/OI 12.4% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
2 day(s) elevated — sustained
OI change +7.8% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 79% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 30% — mixed
Aggressive execution 32% — patient
Conviction -8 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 7.1% — wide
OI 623,364 — deep
Volume 77,281/day — active
$0.35 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 55% — neutral vs sector
Depth 189.9 contracts (bid:98.5 ask:91.4) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.74% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +2.8% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 86% — seller opportunity
IV kink -2.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 893.66 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: Earnings in 18d (low risk)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -8% @ 54% consistency — unclear
Score 60 (ITM 20% + inst 30%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.