IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 5.3% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.29x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 0% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.92x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 23.2% — normal range
Effective IV 42.3% (ATM 23.2% + spread 9.5% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 14.58% (spread 9.53% + slippage 5.05%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 2.15 (vega 2.052 / spread 9.53%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -2% (neutral) — Raw: -5%
|OI skew| 3.4% — balanced
Vol skew +25.9%, OI skew +3.4% — aligned
0-DTE 24%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +8%, ATM: -4%, OTM: -7% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 42% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.5x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.5% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +5.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 46% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 28% — mixed
Aggressive execution 62% — urgent
Conviction -2 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 9.5% — wide
OI 2,718,370 — deep
Volume 66,541/day — active
$0.48 to cross — cheap
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 3% — much tighter than sector
Depth 399.0 contracts (bid:179.5 ask:219.5) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.05% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -8.0% — contango
IV percentile 5% — buyer opportunity
IV kink -0.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 134.11 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -2% @ 51% consistency — unclear
Score 58 (ITM 20% + inst 28%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.