IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 13.6% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.22x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 32% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.95x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 25.7% — normal range
Effective IV 53.5% (ATM 25.7% + spread 13.9% + bias) — good value
Total drag 18.59% (spread 13.92% + slippage 4.67%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 29.37 (vega 40.884 / spread 13.92%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +65% (strong bullish) — Raw: +68%
|OI skew| 12.0% — balanced
Vol skew +4.5%, OI skew +12.0% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 9%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +7%, ATM: +26%, OTM: +80% — bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 55% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.1x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +1.8% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 60% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 59% — patient
Conviction +65 (bullish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 13.9% — wide
OI 58,539 — deep
Volume 1,217/day — adequate
$0.70 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 45% — neutral vs sector
Depth 95.5 contracts (bid:49.5 ask:46.0) — thin
Avg slippage 4.67% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -5.2% — contango
IV percentile 14% — buyer opportunity
IV kink -0.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1371.94 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +65% @ 82% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.