IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 92.5% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.11x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 73% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.53x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 61.8% — normal range
Effective IV 67.4% (ATM 61.8% + spread 2.8% + bias) — fair
Total drag 4.92% (spread 2.78% + slippage 2.14%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 144.88 (vega 40.276 / spread 2.78%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +4% (neutral) — Raw: +1%
|OI skew| 2.7% — balanced
Vol skew +31.9%, OI skew -2.7% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 52%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -10%, ATM: -1%, OTM: +2% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 34% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 9.8% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +7.7% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 63% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 28% — mixed
Aggressive execution 50% — patient
Conviction +4 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 2.8% — acceptable
OI 3,698,751 — deep
Volume 364,276/day — active
$0.14 to cross — cheap
2 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 74% — wider than sector
Depth 257.8 contracts (bid:127.0 ask:130.8) — adequate
Avg slippage 2.14% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +53.4% — backwardation
IV percentile 92% — seller opportunity
IV kink 27.3pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 655.96 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
HIGH RISK: Earnings in 3d (HIGH RISK)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +4% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 58 (ITM 20% + inst 28%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.