IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 90.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.73x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 93% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.92x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 55.4% — normal range
Effective IV 90.2% (ATM 55.4% + spread 17.4% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 26.79% (spread 17.40% + slippage 9.39%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 14.22 (vega 24.738 / spread 17.40%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +6% (neutral) — Raw: +19%
|OI skew| 23.2% — call-heavy
Vol skew -7.6%, OI skew +23.2% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 26%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +33%, ATM: +36%, OTM: +5% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 64% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.3% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +5.7% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 20% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 35% — patient
Conviction +6 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 17.4% — wide
OI 9,299 — thin
Volume 119/day — thin
$0.87 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 93% — much wider than sector
Depth 29.1 contracts (bid:15.6 ask:13.5) — thin
Avg slippage 9.39% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -7.9% — contango
IV percentile 90% — seller opportunity
IV kink -3.7pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 245.66 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +6% @ 53% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.