IV is elevated with bullish flow and unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 99.9% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.80x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 100% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.86x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 271.1% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 292.0% (ATM 271.1% + spread 10.5% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 15.16% (spread 10.46% + slippage 4.70%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1.14 (vega 1.190 / spread 10.46%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +7% (neutral) — Raw: +4%
|OI skew| 40.3% — call-heavy
Vol skew +28.9%, OI skew +40.3% — aligned
0-DTE 42%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +18%, ATM: +9%, OTM: -5% — bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 64% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.8x avg — elevated
Vol/OI 29.3% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +16.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 95% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 42% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 50% — patient
Conviction +7 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 10.5% — wide
OI 1,457,882 — deep
Volume 427,737/day — active
$0.52 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 100% — much wider than sector
Depth 704.8 contracts (bid:460.0 ask:244.8) — deep
Avg slippage 4.70% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +86.3% — backwardation
IV percentile 100% — seller opportunity
IV kink 84.7pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 6.06 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +7% @ 54% consistency — unclear
Score 72 (ITM 20% + inst 42%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.