
IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 86.7% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.32x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 88% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.88x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 84.5% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 108.1% (ATM 84.5% + spread 11.8% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 18.72% (spread 11.82% + slippage 6.90%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 4.91 (vega 5.798 / spread 11.82%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -18% (bearish) — Raw: -21%
|OI skew| 29.5% — call-heavy
Vol skew +20.3%, OI skew +29.5% — aligned
0-DTE 37%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -15%, ATM: -23%, OTM: -22% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 52% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.8% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +3.7% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 44% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 31% — patient
Conviction -18 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 11.8% — wide
OI 41,739 — adequate
Volume 740/day — adequate
$0.59 to cross — expensive
2 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 93% — much wider than sector
Depth 44.5 contracts (bid:26.5 ask:18.0) — thin
Avg slippage 6.90% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -12.1% — contango
IV percentile 87% — seller opportunity
IV kink -5.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 2.90 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -18% @ 59% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.