IV is elevated with bullish flow. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 85.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.84x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 87% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.99x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 75.9% — normal range
Effective IV 108.3% (ATM 75.9% + spread 16.2% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 23.69% (spread 16.22% + slippage 7.47%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 7.26 (vega 11.773 / spread 16.22%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +65% (strong bullish) — Raw: +58%
|OI skew| 68.2% — call-heavy
Vol skew +89.2%, OI skew +68.2% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +15%, ATM: +59%, OTM: +58% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 7% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 2.4x avg — hot
Vol/OI 13.0% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
3 day(s) elevated — sustained
OI change +37.8% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 90% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 46% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 60% — urgent
Conviction +65 (bullish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 16.2% — wide
OI 16,677 — adequate
Volume 2,165/day — adequate
$0.81 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 92% — much wider than sector
Depth 52.3 contracts (bid:31.5 ask:20.8) — thin
Avg slippage 7.47% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -0.7% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 85% — seller opportunity
IV kink 0.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 95.87 — favors income trades
4 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: No earnings detected; FOMC in 5d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +65% @ 82% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 76 (ITM 20% + inst 46%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.