PRUPrudential Financial, Inc.
PRU Options Overview
IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
PRU Gamma Walls
PRU Hedge Radar
Fragility reads low; protection is priced cheap. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where PRU sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.
Protection is priced in the cheap band (2.76) — downside puts carry 0.1 IV points LESS than at-the-money, and near-dated vol is priced 17% below far-dated, measured against this name's own rolling 17-trading-day realized moves (487 overlapping windows). Fragility reads resilient (3.38): it is trading 17% above its hedge wall on a wall graded MEDIUM for reliability, and its realized-vol regime is stable.
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 20.1% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.16x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 34% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.96x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 26.4% — normal range
Effective IV 55.0% (ATM 26.4% + spread 14.3% + bias) — good value
Total drag 23.42% (spread 14.32% + slippage 9.10%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 19.30 (vega 27.642 / spread 14.32%) — efficient
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +14% (bullish) — Raw: +8%
|OI skew| 4.8% — balanced
Vol skew +34.3%, OI skew -4.8% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -8%, ATM: +63%, OTM: -7% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 31% — bullish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.1x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.4% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.3% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 3% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 44% — patient
Conviction +14 (bullish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 14.3% — wide
OI 81,539 — deep
Volume 283/day — thin
$0.72 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 36% — tighter than sector
Depth 66.19999999999999 contracts (bid:35.8 ask:30.4) — thin
Avg slippage 9.10% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -4.1% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 20% — buyer opportunity
IV kink -0.7pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 937.02 — favors income trades
4 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: FOMC in 5d; CPI in 0d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +14% @ 57% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Sep 7, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.