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PRUPrudential Financial, Inc.

Options Analysis ReportLIFE INSURANCE
Market Cap $40.9B|NYSE
2026-09-11$118.48
NEUTRAL
Analysis: 2026-09-10 EOD data
1Y +10.7%YTD +4.0%7D -2.9%
283
30D
±8.6%
24%

PRU Options Overview

IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

5.2VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for option buyers

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PRU Gamma Walls

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PRU Hedge Radar

No action needed
Full Hedge Radar

Fragility reads low; protection is priced cheap. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where PRU sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.

Protection is priced in the cheap band (2.76) — downside puts carry 0.1 IV points LESS than at-the-money, and near-dated vol is priced 17% below far-dated, measured against this name's own rolling 17-trading-day realized moves (487 overlapping windows). Fragility reads resilient (3.38): it is trading 17% above its hedge wall on a wall graded MEDIUM for reliability, and its realized-vol regime is stable.

Protection cost
2.76/ 10cheap
Basis: cross_sectional
Fragility
3.38/ 10resilient
Basis: per_ticker

Value

Is IV priced right?

7.7
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks7/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 20.1% — cheap vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.16x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 34% — below sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 0.96x — contango

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 26.4% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 55.0% (ATM 26.4% + spread 14.3% + bias) — good value

<3.0%

Total drag 23.42% (spread 14.32% + slippage 9.10%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 19.30 (vega 27.642 / spread 14.32%) — efficient

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

6.3
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksBullish - Moderate signal (Conviction: +14%, Raw: +8%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: +14% (bullish) — Raw: +8%

≥15%

|OI skew| 4.8% — balanced

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew +34.3%, OI skew -4.8% — divergent (opposite)

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: -8%, ATM: +63%, OTM: -7% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 31% — bullish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

1.7
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks0/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 0.1x avg — normal

≥15%

Vol/OI 0.4% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change +2.3% (5d) — building

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 3% — quiet vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail

≥60%

Aggressive execution 44% — patient

≥30

Conviction +14 (bullish) — mixed

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

3.6
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks2/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 14.3% — wide

≥10,000

OI 81,539 — deep

≥500

Volume 283/day — thin

≤$0.50

$0.72 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 36% — tighter than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 66.19999999999999 contracts (bid:35.8 ask:30.4) — thin

<1.0%

Avg slippage 9.10% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

6.5
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks4/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope -4.1% — flat/unclear

<30 or >70

IV percentile 20% — buyer opportunity

≥10pts kink

IV kink -0.7pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 937.02 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

4 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

caution advised: FOMC in 5d; CPI in 0d (HIGH)

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow +14% @ 57% consistency — unclear

≥40 composite score

Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls6.4
bullishIV cheap, bullish flow
Long Puts5.5
bearishIV cheap, bullish flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put4.6
bullishIV too cheap, bullish flow
Covered Call3.7
bearishIV too cheap, bullish flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Sep 7, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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