bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 66.5% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.38x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 20% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.07x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 40.2% — normal range
Effective IV 67.4% (ATM 40.2% + spread 13.6% + bias) — fair
Total drag 22.12% (spread 13.60% + slippage 8.52%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 6.07 (vega 8.259 / spread 13.60%) — acceptable
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +20% (bullish) — Raw: +24%
|OI skew| 52.7% — call-heavy
Vol skew +46.7%, OI skew +52.7% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +0%, ATM: -20%, OTM: +47% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 17% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.1x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.3% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +38.7% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 1% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 66% — urgent
Conviction +20 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 13.6% — wide
OI 14,393 — adequate
Volume 45/day — thin
$0.68 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 22% — tighter than sector
Depth 50.199999999999996 contracts (bid:17.9 ask:32.3) — thin
Avg slippage 8.52% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +6.9% — backwardation
IV percentile 66% — neutral
IV kink 1.7pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 43.20 — favors income trades
4 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: FOMC in 7d; CPI in 0d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +20% @ 60% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.