IV is elevated with bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 76.5% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.06x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 77% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.97x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 65.8% — normal range
Effective IV 109.5% (ATM 65.8% + spread 21.9% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 27.96% (spread 21.85% + slippage 6.11%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.11 (vega 0.245 / spread 21.85%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -4% (neutral) — Raw: +6%
|OI skew| 77.3% — call-heavy
Vol skew +76.6%, OI skew +77.3% — aligned
0-DTE 60%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +79%, ATM: -64%, OTM: -6% — bullish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 32% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.1x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.6% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +0.7% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 37% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 10% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 34% — patient
Conviction -4 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 21.9% — wide
OI 127,603 — deep
Volume 2,037/day — adequate
$1.09 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 87% — much wider than sector
Depth 715.4 contracts (bid:452.7 ask:262.7) — deep
Avg slippage 6.11% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -2.7% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 76% — seller opportunity
IV kink -14.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 2.45 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -4% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 40 (ITM 20% + inst 10%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.