IV is elevated with bullish flow and unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 89.4% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.48x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 67% — above sector median
Front/Back 2.65x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 61.0% — normal range
Effective IV 75.5% (ATM 61.0% + spread 7.2% + bias) — fair
Total drag 10.31% (spread 7.23% + slippage 3.08%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 17.84 (vega 12.896 / spread 7.23%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -4% (neutral) — Raw: -3%
|OI skew| 22.0% — call-heavy
Vol skew +60.9%, OI skew +22.0% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -16%, ATM: -3%, OTM: -3% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 12% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.9x avg — elevated
Vol/OI 16.7% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
3 day(s) elevated — sustained
OI change +31.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 89% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 18% — mixed
Aggressive execution 40% — patient
Conviction -4 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 7.2% — wide
OI 683,621 — deep
Volume 114,227/day — active
$0.36 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 68% — wider than sector
Depth 227.9 contracts (bid:111.0 ask:116.9) — adequate
Avg slippage 3.08% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +165.4% — backwardation
IV percentile 89% — seller opportunity
IV kink 65.5pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 56.24 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
HIGH RISK: Earnings in 0d (HIGH RISK); FOMC in 0d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -4% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 48 (ITM 20% + inst 18%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.