Mixed signals. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 63.3% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.09x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 26% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.96x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 51.6% — normal range
Effective IV 104.6% (ATM 51.6% + spread 26.5% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 33.97% (spread 26.48% + slippage 7.49%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.49 (vega 1.303 / spread 26.48%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -40% (strong bearish) — Raw: -48%
|OI skew| 46.5% — call-heavy
Vol skew +7.4%, OI skew +46.5% — weak (same direction)
0-DTE 35%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -33%, ATM: +17%, OTM: -74% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 75% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.2x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.6% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -1.6% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 11% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 28% — patient
Conviction -40 (bearish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 26.5% — wide
OI 9,434 — thin
Volume 54/day — thin
$1.32 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 59% — neutral vs sector
Depth 49.1 contracts (bid:23.0 ask:26.1) — thin
Avg slippage 7.49% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -4.4% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 63% — neutral
IV kink -1.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 4.05 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -40% @ 69% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.