IV is elevated with bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 91.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.13x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 85% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.06x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 97.9% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 119.2% (ATM 97.9% + spread 10.7% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 15.55% (spread 10.67% + slippage 4.88%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 5.28 (vega 5.629 / spread 10.67%) — acceptable
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +16% (bullish) — Raw: +16%
|OI skew| 5.4% — balanced
Vol skew +44.4%, OI skew +5.4% — aligned
0-DTE 52%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +26%, ATM: +26%, OTM: +9% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 53% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.9x avg — normal
Vol/OI 9.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +13.9% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 76% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 30% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 50% — patient
Conviction +16 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 10.7% — wide
OI 792,069 — deep
Volume 72,230/day — active
$0.53 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 92% — much wider than sector
Depth 584.5 contracts (bid:291.5 ask:293.0) — deep
Avg slippage 4.88% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +6.3% — backwardation
IV percentile 91% — seller opportunity
IV kink 8.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 443.20 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +16% @ 58% consistency — unclear
Score 60 (ITM 20% + inst 30%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.