Mixed signals. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 44.7% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.15x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 42% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.92x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 33.4% — normal range
Effective IV 61.3% (ATM 33.4% + spread 13.9% + bias) — good value
Total drag 18.06% (spread 13.95% + slippage 4.11%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 2.71 (vega 3.774 / spread 13.95%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +22% (bullish) — Raw: +15%
|OI skew| 0.8% — balanced
Vol skew +18.0%, OI skew -0.8% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 60%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +33%, ATM: +23%, OTM: -22% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 44% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.1x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.8% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -3.9% (5d) — unwinding
Sector activity percentile 7% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 22% — patient
Conviction +22 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 13.9% — wide
OI 18,440 — adequate
Volume 139/day — thin
$0.70 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 44% — neutral vs sector
Depth 45.7 contracts (bid:23.9 ask:21.8) — thin
Avg slippage 4.11% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -8.5% — contango
IV percentile 45% — neutral
IV kink -0.9pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 3.88 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +22% @ 60% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.