IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 70.6% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.91x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 45% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.02x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 58.2% — normal range
Effective IV 139.9% (ATM 58.2% + spread 40.8% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 47.10% (spread 40.84% + slippage 6.26%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1.46 (vega 5.951 / spread 40.84%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -19% (bearish) — Raw: +1%
|OI skew| 25.7% — call-heavy
Vol skew +34.4%, OI skew +25.7% — aligned
0-DTE 34%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -94%, ATM: -40%, OTM: +96% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 49% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.9x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +49.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 55% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 96% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 10% — patient
Conviction -19 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 40.8% — wide
OI 45,706 — adequate
Volume 942/day — adequate
$2.04 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 77% — wider than sector
Depth 356.20000000000005 contracts (bid:236.3 ask:119.9) — adequate
Avg slippage 6.26% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +2.3% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 71% — seller opportunity
IV kink 2.7pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 305.19 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -19% @ 60% consistency — unclear
Score 126 (ITM 20% + inst 96%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.