bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 65.2% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.91x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 64% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.94x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 53.1% — normal range
Effective IV 78.8% (ATM 53.1% + spread 12.9% + bias) — fair
Total drag 20.02% (spread 12.86% + slippage 7.16%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 3.25 (vega 4.181 / spread 12.86%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -55% (strong bearish) — Raw: -39%
|OI skew| 15.2% — call-heavy
Vol skew +80.0%, OI skew +15.2% — aligned
0-DTE 50%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -40%, ATM: -67%, OTM: -20% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 17% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.1x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.3% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -4.0% (5d) — unwinding
Sector activity percentile 11% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 27% — patient
Conviction -55 (bearish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 12.9% — wide
OI 13,347 — adequate
Volume 40/day — thin
$0.64 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 78% — wider than sector
Depth 26.9 contracts (bid:14.2 ask:12.7) — thin
Avg slippage 7.16% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -6.0% — contango
IV percentile 65% — neutral
IV kink -1.5pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 2.40 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -55% @ 79% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.