R

RSPInvesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF

Options Analysis Report
AUM $98.6B|ARCX
2026-09-11$213.17
BEARISH
Analysis: 2026-09-10 EOD data
1Y +12.0%YTD +10.5%7D -2.7%
33,373
30D
±4.1%
13%

RSP Options Overview

IV is low with bearish flow and unusual activity. Conditions favor option buyers.

REWARDS

RISK ANALYSIS

5.9VALUESENTIMENTACTIVITYLIQUIDITYTIMING

Snowflake Analysis

Favorable conditions for option buyers

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RSP Gamma Walls

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RSP Hedge Radar

Neither score is at an extreme today. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where RSP sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.

Protection is priced in the cheap band (3.89) — downside puts carry 0.5 IV points more than at-the-money, and options are pricing vol 70% above what the stock has actually been realizing, measured against this name's own rolling 20-trading-day realized moves (484 overlapping windows). Fragility reads neutral (5.51): it is trading 2% below its hedge wall on a wall graded HIGH for reliability, and its realized-vol regime is stable.

Protection cost
3.89/ 10cheap
Basis: cross_sectional
Fragility
5.51/ 10neutral
Basis: per_ticker

Value

Is IV priced right?

7.6
ExpensiveCheap

Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer

levels.

Risk Checks7/9 checks passed
≤35%

IV Rank 11.6% — cheap vs history

<1.05x

IV/HV 1.70x — IV premium over HV

Sector Relative≤50%

Sector percentile 20% — below sector median

<1.1x

Front/Back 1.00x — flat

<1.25x

Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated

<80%

ATM IV 17.1% — normal range

<80%

Effective IV 49.8% (ATM 17.1% + spread 16.3% + bias) — excellent value

<3.0%

Total drag 22.08% (spread 16.34% + slippage 5.74%) — high friction

≥5.0

Vega efficiency 17.89 (vega 29.239 / spread 16.34%) — efficient

Sentiment

Bullish or bearish?

5.1
BearishBullish

Analyzes

,
, and flow direction to determine market bias.

Risk ChecksVery Bullish - Strong signal (Conviction: +46%, Raw: +35%)
|net sentiment| ≥25%

Conviction-weighted: +46% (strong bullish) — Raw: +35%

≥15%

|OI skew| 36.8% — put-heavy

Same sign, |vol skew| ≥10%

Vol skew -85.1%, OI skew -36.8% — aligned

≥2/3 conditions

0-DTE 8%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30

|change| ≥3%

OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable

|weighted flow| ≥20%

ITM: -41%, ATM: +2%, OTM: +81% — bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)

Sector Relative≤40% or ≥60%

Sector P/C percentile 98% — very bearish vs sector

Activity

Unusual activity?

6.3
QuietActive

Detects volume surges,

, and unusual options activity that may signal moves.

Risk Checks4/8 checks passed
≥1.5x

Volume 2.8x avg — hot

≥15%

Vol/OI 10.1% — normal turnover

≥2 days

1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event

≥5%

OI change -1.2% (5d) — stable

Sector Relative≥60%

Sector activity percentile 84% — very active vs sector

≥30%

Large trade volume 74% — heavy institutional

≥60%

Aggressive execution 45% — patient

≥30

Conviction +46 (bullish) — moderate

Liquidity

Can I trade efficiently?

4.3
IlliquidLiquid

Evaluates

, volume depth, and open interest for trade execution quality.

Risk Checks4/8 checks passed
≤5.0%

Spread 16.3% — wide

≥10,000

OI 329,467 — deep

≥500

Volume 33,373/day — active

≤$0.50

$0.82 to cross — expensive

≥5 strikes

0 liquid strikes — limited options

Sector Relative≤40%

Sector spread percentile 40% — tighter than sector

≥100 contracts

Depth 296.0 contracts (bid:160.9 ask:135.1) — adequate

<1.0%

Avg slippage 5.74% — poor

Timing

Is now a good time?

6.4
RiskyFavorable

Considers earnings proximity,

, and event calendar for optimal entry timing.

Risk Checks6/9 checks passed
|slope| ≥5%

Slope +0.0% — flat/unclear

<30 or >70

IV percentile 12% — buyer opportunity

≥10pts kink

IV kink 0.9pts — no clear event

<0.5 or >2.0

θ/ν ratio 538.47 — favors income trades

≥3 expirations

5 liquid expirations — flexible

≥60% (safe)

caution advised: No earnings detected; FOMC in 5d; CPI in 0d (HIGH)

<1.2 ratio

Spread ratio 1.00x — stable

≥25% strength + ≥50% consistency

Flow +46% @ 73% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)

≥40 composite score

Score 104 (ITM 20% + inst 74%) — HIGH institutional

Directional Strategy Fit

Option Buyers
Long Calls6.0
bullishIV cheap, mixed flow
Long Puts6.6
bearishIV cheap, mixed flow
Premium Sellers
Cash-Secured Put4.3
bullishIV too cheap, mixed flow
Covered Call4.2
bearishIV too cheap, mixed flow

For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.

The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Sep 7, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.

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