IV is elevated with bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 81.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.10x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 59% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.92x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 72.9% — normal range
Effective IV 86.7% (ATM 72.9% + spread 6.9% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 13.33% (spread 6.92% + slippage 6.41%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 57.33 (vega 39.675 / spread 6.92%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -2% (neutral) — Raw: +7%
|OI skew| 64.3% — call-heavy
Vol skew +46.2%, OI skew +64.3% — aligned
0-DTE 36%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -38%, ATM: +56%, OTM: +45% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 51% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.1x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.9% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.5% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 16% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 49% — patient
Conviction -2 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 6.9% — wide
OI 22,389 — adequate
Volume 197/day — thin
$0.35 to cross — cheap
5 liquid strikes — good coverage
Sector spread percentile 77% — wider than sector
Depth 57.9 contracts (bid:28.0 ask:29.9) — thin
Avg slippage 6.41% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -8.0% — contango
IV percentile 81% — seller opportunity
IV kink -2.8pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 178.15 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -2% @ 51% consistency — unclear
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.