bullish flow with unusual activity. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 31.1% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 0.92x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 8% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.91x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 30.3% — normal range
Effective IV 50.2% (ATM 30.3% + spread 10.0% + bias) — good value
Total drag 14.56% (spread 9.96% + slippage 4.60%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 8.40 (vega 8.366 / spread 9.96%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +23% (bullish) — Raw: -4%
|OI skew| 4.6% — balanced
Vol skew +89.2%, OI skew -4.6% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 44%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -1%, ATM: -20%, OTM: -18% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 2% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 4.6x avg — hot
Vol/OI 35.2% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -2.5% (5d) — unwinding
Sector activity percentile 94% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 83% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 31% — patient
Conviction +23 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 10.0% — wide
OI 517,029 — deep
Volume 181,803/day — active
$0.50 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 10% — much tighter than sector
Depth 349.2 contracts (bid:160.1 ask:189.1) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.60% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -9.4% — contango
IV percentile 31% — neutral
IV kink 0.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 112.44 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +23% @ 62% consistency — unclear
Score 113 (ITM 20% + inst 83%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.