
IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 86.6% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.76x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 90% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.93x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 84.2% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 107.9% (ATM 84.2% + spread 11.8% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 17.24% (spread 11.84% + slippage 5.40%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1.35 (vega 1.600 / spread 11.84%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +65% (strong bullish) — Raw: +62%
|OI skew| 3.8% — balanced
Vol skew -53.1%, OI skew -3.8% — aligned
0-DTE 11%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +62%, ATM: +21%, OTM: +64% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 95% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.4% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +6.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 65% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 53% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 47% — patient
Conviction +65 (bullish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 11.8% — wide
OI 61,998 — deep
Volume 2,104/day — adequate
$0.59 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 94% — much wider than sector
Depth 133.6 contracts (bid:87.6 ask:46.0) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.40% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -6.6% — contango
IV percentile 87% — seller opportunity
IV kink -2.8pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1.87 — favors mixed
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +65% @ 82% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 83 (ITM 20% + inst 53%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.