IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 99.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.07x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 99% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.10x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 106.1% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 116.5% (ATM 106.1% + spread 5.2% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 10.43% (spread 5.22% + slippage 5.21%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 155.07 (vega 80.945 / spread 5.22%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -2% (neutral) — Raw: -4%
|OI skew| 10.1% — balanced
Vol skew +1.7%, OI skew -10.1% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 59%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +7%, ATM: -6%, OTM: -5% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 79% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 18.8% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +23.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 92% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 9% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 34% — patient
Conviction -2 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 5.2% — wide
OI 792,111 — deep
Volume 149,100/day — active
$0.26 to cross — cheap
2 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 99% — much wider than sector
Depth 65.7 contracts (bid:32.1 ask:33.6) — thin
Avg slippage 5.21% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +9.8% — backwardation
IV percentile 100% — seller opportunity
IV kink 11.6pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 13.81 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -2% @ 51% consistency — unclear
Score 39 (ITM 20% + inst 9%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.