IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 89.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.33x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 60% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.02x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 55.2% — normal range
Effective IV 80.6% (ATM 55.2% + spread 12.7% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 23.57% (spread 12.69% + slippage 10.88%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 6.71 (vega 8.516 / spread 12.69%) — acceptable
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -22% (bearish) — Raw: -14%
|OI skew| 3.2% — balanced
Vol skew +50.8%, OI skew -3.2% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 20%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -33%, ATM: -14%, OTM: -13% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 23% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.7% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +8.6% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 26% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 5% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 43% — patient
Conviction -22 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 12.7% — wide
OI 78,237 — deep
Volume 2,902/day — adequate
$0.63 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 61% — wider than sector
Depth 52.5 contracts (bid:27.8 ask:24.7) — thin
Avg slippage 10.88% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +1.6% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 89% — seller opportunity
IV kink -2.5pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 3.38 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: Earnings in 12d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -22% @ 61% consistency — unclear
Score 35 (ITM 20% + inst 5%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.