IV is elevated with bullish flow. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 75.0% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.92x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 68% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.95x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 63.6% — normal range
Effective IV 94.1% (ATM 63.6% + spread 15.3% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 19.42% (spread 15.26% + slippage 4.16%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 6.97 (vega 10.641 / spread 15.26%) — acceptable
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +47% (strong bullish) — Raw: +35%
|OI skew| 41.2% — call-heavy
Vol skew +36.0%, OI skew +41.2% — aligned
0-DTE 38%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +71%, ATM: +81%, OTM: -25% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 57% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.4% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +5.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 51% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 46% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 26% — patient
Conviction +47 (bullish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 15.3% — wide
OI 57,284 — deep
Volume 1,366/day — adequate
$0.76 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 82% — much wider than sector
Depth 569.8 contracts (bid:335.6 ask:234.2) — deep
Avg slippage 4.16% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -5.2% — contango
IV percentile 75% — seller opportunity
IV kink -1.3pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 695.50 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +47% @ 74% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 76 (ITM 20% + inst 46%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.