IV is elevated with bullish flow and unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 89.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.12x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 66% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.27x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 82.7% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 98.3% (ATM 82.7% + spread 7.8% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 10.73% (spread 7.81% + slippage 2.92%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 3.56 (vega 2.779 / spread 7.81%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +8% (neutral) — Raw: +12%
|OI skew| 33.6% — call-heavy
Vol skew +72.7%, OI skew +33.6% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +30%, ATM: -25%, OTM: +22% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 34% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 3.1x avg — hot
Vol/OI 23.7% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +16.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 94% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 50% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 37% — patient
Conviction +8 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 7.8% — wide
OI 355,545 — deep
Volume 84,396/day — active
$0.39 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 80% — wider than sector
Depth 172.4 contracts (bid:100.7 ask:71.7) — adequate
Avg slippage 2.92% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +26.8% — backwardation
IV percentile 89% — seller opportunity
IV kink 21.1pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 6.00 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +8% @ 54% consistency — unclear
Score 80 (ITM 20% + inst 50%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.