Mixed signals. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 56.1% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.42x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 53% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.97x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 46.8% — normal range
Effective IV 93.1% (ATM 46.8% + spread 23.1% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 28.74% (spread 23.14% + slippage 5.60%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 17.22 (vega 39.836 / spread 23.14%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -35% (strong bearish) — Raw: -30%
|OI skew| 20.9% — call-heavy
Vol skew +24.5%, OI skew +20.9% — aligned
0-DTE 14%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +67%, ATM: +6%, OTM: -52% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 73% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.2x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.9% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +1.6% (5d) — stable
Sector activity percentile 20% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 20% — patient
Conviction -35 (bearish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 23.1% — wide
OI 30,578 — adequate
Volume 286/day — thin
$1.16 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 73% — wider than sector
Depth 214.4 contracts (bid:125.2 ask:89.2) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.60% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -2.7% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 56% — neutral
IV kink -0.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 2399.77 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -35% @ 68% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.