IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 98.7% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.46x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 93% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.08x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 82.9% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 99.4% (ATM 82.9% + spread 8.3% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 15.83% (spread 8.26% + slippage 7.57%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 282.23 (vega 233.125 / spread 8.26%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -3% (neutral) — Raw: +1%
|OI skew| 7.5% — balanced
Vol skew +14.4%, OI skew -7.5% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 36%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -7%, ATM: -35%, OTM: +12% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 69% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 7.5% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +17.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 51% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 5% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 32% — patient
Conviction -3 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 8.3% — wide
OI 217,562 — deep
Volume 16,297/day — active
$0.41 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 93% — much wider than sector
Depth 62.5 contracts (bid:32.4 ask:30.1) — thin
Avg slippage 7.57% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +8.4% — backwardation
IV percentile 99% — seller opportunity
IV kink 7.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 509.45 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -3% @ 52% consistency — unclear
Score 35 (ITM 20% + inst 5%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.