IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 80.4% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.16x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 56% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.99x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 71.4% — normal range
Effective IV 90.0% (ATM 71.4% + spread 9.3% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 14.42% (spread 9.30% + slippage 5.12%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 8.01 (vega 7.446 / spread 9.30%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -26% (bearish) — Raw: -26%
|OI skew| 21.5% — call-heavy
Vol skew +28.0%, OI skew +21.5% — aligned
0-DTE 26%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +18%, ATM: -10%, OTM: -33% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 54% — neutral vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.9x avg — normal
Vol/OI 6.0% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +12.9% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 81% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 34% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 46% — patient
Conviction -26 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 9.3% — wide
OI 351,437 — deep
Volume 21,218/day — active
$0.47 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 82% — much wider than sector
Depth 324.9 contracts (bid:168.4 ask:156.5) — adequate
Avg slippage 5.12% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -0.7% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 80% — seller opportunity
IV kink 0.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 181.62 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -26% @ 63% consistency — moderate (bearish)
Score 64 (ITM 20% + inst 34%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.