TMOThermo Fisher Scientific, Inc.
TMO Options Overview
Mixed signals. No clear edge detected.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
TMO Gamma Walls
TMO Hedge Radar
Fragility reads low; protection is priced cheap. Neither axis is a forecast — this is where TMO sits on protection cost vs. fragility today.
Protection is priced in the cheap band (2.65) — near-dated vol is priced 8% below far-dated, and implied vol sits in the 9th percentile of its own past year, measured against this name's own rolling 20-trading-day realized moves (484 overlapping windows). Fragility reads resilient (3.42): it is trading 6% above its hedge wall on a wall graded HIGH for reliability, and its realized-vol regime is stable.
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 51.2% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.34x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 53% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.92x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 32.8% — normal range
Effective IV 43.1% (ATM 32.8% + spread 5.1% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 11.21% (spread 5.13% + slippage 6.08%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 114.04 (vega 58.501 / spread 5.13%) — efficient
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -1% (neutral) — Raw: -10%
|OI skew| 1.6% — balanced
Vol skew +13.5%, OI skew +1.6% — aligned
0-DTE 27%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -3%, ATM: -10%, OTM: -14% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 47% — neutral vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.5x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.5% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +5.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 47% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 6% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 18% — patient
Conviction -1 (bearish) — mixed
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 5.1% — wide
OI 63,392 — deep
Volume 1,605/day — adequate
$0.26 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 58% — neutral vs sector
Depth 27.6 contracts (bid:14.3 ask:13.3) — thin
Avg slippage 6.08% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -8.4% — contango
IV percentile 51% — neutral
IV kink -2.1pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 132.84 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: FOMC in 5d; CPI in 0d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -1% @ 51% consistency — unclear
Score 36 (ITM 20% + inst 6%) — retail dominated
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Sep 7, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.