Mixed signals. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 31.7% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 0.88x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 20% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.89x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 30.4% — normal range
Effective IV 57.3% (ATM 30.4% + spread 13.5% + bias) — good value
Total drag 18.77% (spread 13.47% + slippage 5.30%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 32.71 (vega 44.054 / spread 13.47%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -80% (strong bearish) — Raw: -66%
|OI skew| 30.3% — call-heavy
Vol skew +61.2%, OI skew +30.3% — aligned
0-DTE 7%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -23%, ATM: -15%, OTM: -72% — bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 6% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.0x avg — normal
Vol/OI 5.2% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +8.5% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 62% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 54% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 38% — patient
Conviction -80 (bearish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 13.5% — wide
OI 149,221 — deep
Volume 7,750/day — active
$0.67 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 29% — tighter than sector
Depth 98.5 contracts (bid:59.1 ask:39.4) — thin
Avg slippage 5.30% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -10.5% — contango
IV percentile 32% — neutral
IV kink -2.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 749.22 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -80% @ 90% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 84 (ITM 20% + inst 54%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.