
IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 96.3% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.63x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 92% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.36x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 131.8% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 163.5% (ATM 131.8% + spread 15.9% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 20.59% (spread 15.86% + slippage 4.73%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 0.33 (vega 0.516 / spread 15.86%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -20% (bearish) — Raw: +15%
|OI skew| 56.9% — call-heavy
Vol skew -1.7%, OI skew +56.9% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 89%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -75%, ATM: -15%, OTM: +83% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 77% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.6x avg — elevated
Vol/OI 8.2% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +3.2% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 86% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 15% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 8% — patient
Conviction -20 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 15.9% — wide
OI 23,262 — adequate
Volume 1,911/day — adequate
$0.79 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 97% — much wider than sector
Depth 143.9 contracts (bid:110.4 ask:33.5) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.73% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +35.8% — backwardation
IV percentile 96% — seller opportunity
IV kink 32.8pts — event priced
θ/ν ratio 0.42 — favors vol trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -20% @ 60% consistency — unclear
Score 45 (ITM 20% + inst 15%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.