Mixed signals. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 69.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.08x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 27% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.81x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 40.3% — normal range
Effective IV 54.4% (ATM 40.3% + spread 7.1% + bias) — good value
Total drag 11.21% (spread 7.07% + slippage 4.14%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 83.86 (vega 59.292 / spread 7.07%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -22% (bearish) — Raw: -18%
|OI skew| 23.6% — call-heavy
Vol skew +13.3%, OI skew +23.6% — aligned
0-DTE 22%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +41%, ATM: +1%, OTM: -42% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 59% — bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.5x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.8% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +39.5% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 20% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 22% — mixed
Aggressive execution 34% — patient
Conviction -22 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 7.1% — wide
OI 255,099 — deep
Volume 7,121/day — active
$0.35 to cross — cheap
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 29% — tighter than sector
Depth 131.4 contracts (bid:84.2 ask:47.2) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.14% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -18.9% — contango
IV percentile 70% — neutral
IV kink -3.2pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 661.74 — favors income trades
4 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -22% @ 61% consistency — unclear
Score 52 (ITM 20% + inst 22%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.