IV is elevated with bullish flow and unusual activity. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 77.6% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.93x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 50% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.87x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 67.2% — normal range
Effective IV 90.9% (ATM 67.2% + spread 11.8% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 16.03% (spread 11.83% + slippage 4.20%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 4.51 (vega 5.337 / spread 11.83%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +34% (strong bullish) — Raw: +36%
|OI skew| 71.1% — call-heavy
Vol skew +84.6%, OI skew +71.1% — aligned
0-DTE 7%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -13%, ATM: +22%, OTM: +49% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 18% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 1.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 8.4% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +11.5% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 73% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 45% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 46% — patient
Conviction +34 (bullish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 11.8% — wide
OI 218,165 — deep
Volume 18,347/day — active
$0.59 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 72% — wider than sector
Depth 695.3 contracts (bid:427.5 ask:267.8) — deep
Avg slippage 4.20% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -12.9% — contango
IV percentile 78% — seller opportunity
IV kink -7.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 731.04 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +34% @ 67% consistency — moderate (bullish)
Score 75 (ITM 20% + inst 45%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.