Mixed signals. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 33.8% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.03x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 28% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.86x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 30.8% — normal range
Effective IV 36.9% (ATM 30.8% + spread 3.1% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 6.75% (spread 3.07% + slippage 3.68%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 521.89 (vega 160.219 / spread 3.07%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -14% (bearish) — Raw: -10%
|OI skew| 17.8% — call-heavy
Vol skew +43.2%, OI skew +17.8% — aligned
0-DTE 36%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -3%, ATM: -18%, OTM: -7% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 22% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.6x avg — normal
Vol/OI 6.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +3.8% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 75% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 18% — mixed
Aggressive execution 30% — patient
Conviction -14 (bearish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 3.1% — acceptable
OI 1,339,621 — deep
Volume 82,089/day — active
$0.15 to cross — cheap
2 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 31% — tighter than sector
Depth 185.4 contracts (bid:87.0 ask:98.4) — adequate
Avg slippage 3.68% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -13.9% — contango
IV percentile 34% — neutral
IV kink -1.1pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1980.46 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -14% @ 57% consistency — unclear
Score 48 (ITM 20% + inst 18%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.