IV is low with bullish flow and unusual activity. No clear edge detected.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 29.8% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.54x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 46% — below sector median
Front/Back 1.07x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 28.4% — normal range
Effective IV 51.7% (ATM 28.4% + spread 11.7% + bias) — good value
Total drag 15.09% (spread 11.65% + slippage 3.44%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 4.67 (vega 5.444 / spread 11.65%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +48% (strong bullish) — Raw: +54%
|OI skew| 77.4% — call-heavy
Vol skew +99.8%, OI skew +77.4% — aligned
0-DTE 0%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -18%, ATM: -83%, OTM: +76% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 0% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 6.2x avg — hot
Vol/OI 41.2% — high turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
2 day(s) elevated — sustained
OI change +124.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 98% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 77% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 48% — patient
Conviction +48 (bullish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 11.7% — wide
OI 35,521 — adequate
Volume 14,645/day — active
$0.58 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 55% — neutral vs sector
Depth 127.1 contracts (bid:33.8 ask:93.3) — adequate
Avg slippage 3.44% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +7.0% — backwardation
IV percentile 30% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 3.9pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 54.93 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: No earnings detected; FOMC in 7d; CPI in 0d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +48% @ 74% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 107 (ITM 20% + inst 77%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.