URBNUrban Outfitters Inc
URBN Options Overview
bullish flow. No clear edge detected.
REWARDS
RISK ANALYSIS
URBN Gamma Walls
Value
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 64.8% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 0.92x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 54% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.00x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 44.4% — normal range
Effective IV 82.1% (ATM 44.4% + spread 18.9% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 25.21% (spread 18.85% + slippage 6.36%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 2.36 (vega 4.452 / spread 18.85%) — spread drag
Sentiment
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +36% (strong bullish) — Raw: +36%
|OI skew| 30.3% — put-heavy
Vol skew +51.1%, OI skew -30.3% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 4%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +51%, ATM: +41%, OTM: +6% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 20% — very bullish vs sector
Activity
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.3x avg — normal
Vol/OI 2.9% — normal turnover
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change -8.7% (5d) — unwinding
Sector activity percentile 55% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 15% — patient
Conviction +36 (bullish) — moderate
Liquidity
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 18.9% — wide
OI 21,052 — adequate
Volume 609/day — adequate
$0.94 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 74% — wider than sector
Depth 73.2 contracts (bid:31.0 ask:42.2) — thin
Avg slippage 6.36% — poor
Timing
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +0.5% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 65% — neutral
IV kink 3.9pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 35.16 — favors income trades
4 liquid expirations — flexible
caution advised: FOMC in 5d; CPI in 0d (HIGH)
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +36% @ 68% consistency — moderate (bullish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
Directional Strategy Fit
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.
The Options Desk tracks the move options price into every US earnings report the week of Sep 7, next to how much each stock has actually moved on its past prints — plus the SPY, QQQ and IWM expected ranges and the gamma walls that box them in.