Mixed signals. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 37.6% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.27x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 18% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.92x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 36.5% — normal range
Effective IV 61.8% (ATM 36.5% + spread 12.6% + bias) — good value
Total drag 33.64% (spread 12.64% + slippage 21.00%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 94.14 (vega 118.999 / spread 12.64%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: -41% (strong bearish) — Raw: -44%
|OI skew| 20.9% — call-heavy
Vol skew +78.0%, OI skew +20.9% — aligned
0-DTE 88%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: -100%, ATM: +0%, OTM: -52% — strong bearish (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 25% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.1x avg — normal
Vol/OI 0.4% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +10.0% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 15% — quiet vs sector
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 61% — urgent
Conviction -41 (bearish) — moderate
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 12.6% — wide
OI 50,084 — deep
Volume 200/day — thin
$0.63 to cross — expensive
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 66% — wider than sector
Depth 12.6 contracts (bid:8.7 ask:3.9) — thin
Avg slippage 21.00% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -8.3% — contango
IV percentile 38% — neutral
IV kink -1.0pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 511.82 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow -41% @ 71% consistency — STRONG directional (bearish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.