IV is elevated with bullish flow. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 91.4% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 2.25x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 76% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.83x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 99.7% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 154.2% (ATM 99.7% + spread 27.3% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 47.09% (spread 27.27% + slippage 19.82%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 1.79 (vega 4.870 / spread 27.27%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +67% (strong bullish) — Raw: +20%
|OI skew| 84.7% — call-heavy
Vol skew +78.1%, OI skew +84.7% — aligned
0-DTE 64%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +76%, ATM: +65%, OTM: -32% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 25% — very bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.8x avg — normal
Vol/OI 1.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +2.7% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 36% — below sector avg
Large trade volume 0% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 65% — urgent
Conviction +67 (bullish) — strong conviction
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 27.3% — wide
OI 24,071 — adequate
Volume 256/day — thin
$1.36 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 90% — much wider than sector
Depth 32.0 contracts (bid:18.1 ask:13.9) — thin
Avg slippage 19.82% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -17.0% — contango
IV percentile 91% — seller opportunity
IV kink -27.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 90.87 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +67% @ 84% consistency — STRONG directional (bullish)
Score 30 (ITM 20% + inst 0%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.