IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 82.4% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.26x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 83% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.04x — flat
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 71.2% — normal range
Effective IV 87.7% (ATM 71.2% + spread 8.2% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 13.12% (spread 8.23% + slippage 4.89%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 29.26 (vega 24.078 / spread 8.23%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +2% (neutral) — Raw: -2%
|OI skew| 4.5% — balanced
Vol skew -13.3%, OI skew -4.5% — aligned
0-DTE 22%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +39%, ATM: +24%, OTM: -13% — strong bullish (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 79% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.7x avg — normal
Vol/OI 5.1% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +8.7% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 73% — active vs sector
Large trade volume 17% — mixed
Aggressive execution 34% — patient
Conviction +2 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 8.2% — wide
OI 494,141 — deep
Volume 25,386/day — active
$0.41 to cross — cheap
8 liquid strikes — good coverage
Sector spread percentile 89% — much wider than sector
Depth 145.10000000000002 contracts (bid:68.4 ask:76.7) — adequate
Avg slippage 4.89% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +4.3% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 82% — seller opportunity
IV kink 2.8pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 43.26 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
acceptable: No earnings detected; FOMC in 5d
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +2% @ 51% consistency — unclear
Score 47 (ITM 20% + inst 17%) — moderate institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.