IV is elevated. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 86.5% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.45x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 74% — above sector median
Front/Back 1.06x — backwardation
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 84.1% — crisis-level IV
Effective IV 118.6% (ATM 84.1% + spread 17.3% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 31.62% (spread 17.27% + slippage 14.35%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 18.62 (vega 32.151 / spread 17.27%) — efficient
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +28% (bullish) — Raw: +26%
|OI skew| 40.2% — call-heavy
Vol skew -49.3%, OI skew +40.2% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 11%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +25%, ATM: -21%, OTM: +27% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 94% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.7x avg — normal
Vol/OI 3.8% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +15.9% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 46% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 10% — mostly retail
Aggressive execution 51% — patient
Conviction +28 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 17.3% — wide
OI 114,165 — deep
Volume 4,365/day — adequate
$0.86 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 86% — much wider than sector
Depth 241.8 contracts (bid:129.9 ask:111.9) — adequate
Avg slippage 14.35% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope +5.6% — backwardation
IV percentile 86% — seller opportunity
IV kink 5.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 1323.08 — favors income trades
3 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +28% @ 64% consistency — moderate (bullish)
Score 40 (ITM 20% + inst 10%) — retail dominated
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.