IV is low. Conditions favor option buyers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 8.5% — cheap vs history
IV/HV 1.20x — IV premium over HV
Sector percentile 0% — below sector median
Front/Back 0.97x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 24.4% — normal range
Effective IV 39.8% (ATM 24.4% + spread 7.7% + bias) — excellent value
Total drag 11.89% (spread 7.69% + slippage 4.20%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 3.60 (vega 2.771 / spread 7.69%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +6% (neutral) — Raw: +8%
|OI skew| 7.7% — balanced
Vol skew +26.2%, OI skew +7.7% — aligned
0-DTE 22%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +8%, ATM: +5%, OTM: +9% — neutral (ITM/ATM aligned)
Sector P/C percentile 35% — bullish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 0.9x avg — normal
Vol/OI 4.6% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
1 day(s) elevated — may be one-day event
OI change +4.4% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 50% — neutral vs sector
Large trade volume 44% — institutional presence
Aggressive execution 37% — patient
Conviction +6 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 7.7% — wide
OI 1,163,353 — deep
Volume 53,063/day — active
$0.38 to cross — cheap
1 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 12% — much tighter than sector
Depth 509.6 contracts (bid:237.4 ask:272.2) — deep
Avg slippage 4.20% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -2.5% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 8% — buyer opportunity
IV kink 0.4pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 64.60 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No events detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +6% @ 53% consistency — unclear
Score 74 (ITM 20% + inst 44%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.