IV is elevated with unusual activity. Conditions favor premium sellers.
Is IV priced right?
Measures whether options are cheap, fair, or rich relative to historical and peer
IV Rank 77.9% — elevated vs history
IV/HV 1.00x — IV ≤ HV
Sector percentile 82% — above sector median
Front/Back 0.98x — contango
Put/Call IV 1.16x — elevated
ATM IV 67.5% — normal range
Effective IV 95.3% (ATM 67.5% + spread 13.9% + bias) — expensive
Total drag 24.46% (spread 13.90% + slippage 10.56%) — high friction
Vega efficiency 2.63 (vega 3.653 / spread 13.90%) — spread drag
Bullish or bearish?
Analyzes
Conviction-weighted: +1% (neutral) — Raw: -2%
|OI skew| 6.1% — balanced
Vol skew -52.2%, OI skew +6.1% — divergent (opposite)
0-DTE 61%, far-OTM 15%, avg DTE 30
OI change +0.0% (5d) — stable
ITM: +2%, ATM: -26%, OTM: -1% — neutral (ITM/ATM divergent)
Sector P/C percentile 91% — very bearish vs sector
Unusual activity?
Detects volume surges,
Volume 2.2x avg — hot
Vol/OI 11.7% — normal turnover
Top 3 strikes = 50% — dispersed
2 day(s) elevated — sustained
OI change +5.1% (5d) — building
Sector activity percentile 88% — very active vs sector
Large trade volume 78% — heavy institutional
Aggressive execution 36% — patient
Conviction +1 (bullish) — mixed
Can I trade efficiently?
Evaluates
Spread 13.9% — wide
OI 159,876 — deep
Volume 18,767/day — active
$0.70 to cross — expensive
0 liquid strikes — limited options
Sector spread percentile 90% — much wider than sector
Depth 282.6 contracts (bid:144.7 ask:137.9) — adequate
Avg slippage 10.56% — poor
Is now a good time?
Considers earnings proximity,
Slope -2.4% — flat/unclear
IV percentile 78% — seller opportunity
IV kink 1.6pts — no clear event
θ/ν ratio 24.00 — favors income trades
5 liquid expirations — flexible
safe window: No earnings detected
Spread ratio 1.00x — stable
Flow +1% @ 50% consistency — unclear
Score 108 (ITM 20% + inst 78%) — HIGH institutional
For educational purposes only. Not investment advice.